Survivor-Biased Biotech IPO Profiles

We found the 44 biotechnology companies that published information about their IPO, founding date and valuation in the period January 1 – October 31, 2018.

The averages look like this:

Ave Yrs to IPO Avg Valuation at IPO Time-Value Correlation
8.2 $494,223,935.16 -39%

One conclusion is that the longer a company takes to reach an IPO the lower its valuation at IPO time.   If we split the cohort into two pieces and group the fastest to IPO with the slowest to IPO we see a few other interesting things.

Ave Yrs to IPO (Fastest) Avg Valuation at IPO Time-Value Correlation
3.8 $603,441,194.77 5%

and

Ave Yrs to IPO (Slowest) Avg Valuation at IPO Time-Value Correlation
12.5 $385,006,675.55 -58%

There is no real correlation for the fastest to IPO group.  The slowest to IPO group is highly negatively correlated to time to IPO.  So the longer they take the lower the IPO value becomes.  Based on this fastest to the market group, and if things continue, there would be 2 companies every month being founded that will eventually IPO in about 4 years.  Let’s explore how these companies got to the IPO:

  • majority received seed round from a parent and spun out
  • majority received a Series A from one or two well-known VCs
  • 12% of 4-year-old biotechnology companies receive a Series A
  • 27% of 4-year-old biotechnology companies receiving a Series A are acquired or IPO
  • “clinical stage” and “cancer/oncology” where the most common company descriptions
  • from seed valuation to IPO these companies grew in value by 13.4 x on average (based on only the complete company histories we had access to) that’s a CAGR of about 90%.

 

 


The full list is below:

Company Categories Years to IPO Valuation
BioXcel Therapeutics Biotechnology 1.2 $167,000,000.00
Allogene Therapeutics Biotechnology, Health Diagnostics, Pharmaceutical 1.8 $2,074,000,000.00
Equillium Biopharma, Biotechnology, Life Science 1.8 $234,000,000.00
resTORbio Biopharma, Clinical Trials, Medical 2.1 $410,000,000.00
Evelo Biosciences Biotechnology, Medical, Therapeutics 3.4 $509,000,000.00
MeiraGTx Biotechnology, Health Care, Therapeutics 3.4 $407,000,000.00
Aptinyx Biopharma, Biotechnology, Medical 3.5 $520,000,000.00
Magenta Therapeutics Biotechnology, Medical, Therapeutics 3.5 $515,000,000.00
Avrobio Biotechnology, Genetics, Health Care 3.5 $440,000,000.00
Forty Seven Biotechnology, Clinical Trials, Health Care 3.5 $479,000,000.00
Gritstone Oncology Biotechnology, Health Care, Natural Resources, Therapeutics 3.7 $432,428,295.00
Orchard Therapeutics Biotechnology, Genetics, Health Care, Health Diagnostics 3.8 $1,176,000,000.00
Eyenovia Biotechnology, Manufacturing, Pharmaceutical 4.1 $99,000,000.00
Solid Biosciences Biotechnology, Genetics, Manufacturing, Medical 4.1 $546,000,000.00
UNUM Therapeutics Biotechnology, Health Care, Therapeutics 4.2 $355,000,000.00
Autolus Limited Biopharma, Medical, Pharmaceutical 4.5 $657,000,000.00
LogicBio Therapeutics Biotechnology, Genetics 4.8 $219,377,990.00
Eidos Therapeutics Biopharma, Biotechnology, Pharmaceutical 4.9 $608,000,000.00
Tricida Biotechnology, Health Care, Pharmaceutical 5.5 $763,000,000.00
Rubius Therapeutics Biotechnology, Health Care, Therapeutics 5.5 $1,778,000,000.00
Arvinas Biotechnology, Health Care, Pharmaceutical, Therapeutics 5.7 $514,500,000.00
Twist Bioscience Biotechnology, Chemical, Health Care 5.8 $372,400,000.00
Evolus Biotechnology 6.1 $283,000,000.00
Allakos Biotechnology, Health Care, Therapeutics 6.6 $728,000,000.00
Guardant Health Biotechnology, Health Care, Health Diagnostics 6.8 $1,587,000,000.00
Translate Bio Biotechnology, Genetics, Medical, Therapeutics 7.5 $582,000,000.00
ASLAN Pharmaceuticals Biotechnology, Medical, Pharmaceutical 8.3 $1,120,000,000.00
Genprex, Inc. Biopharma, Biotechnology, Pharmaceutical 9.2 $65,000,000.00
UNITY Biotechnology Biotechnology, Health Care, Medical 9.3 $712,000,000.00
Kodiak Sciences Biotechnology, Health Care, Therapeutics 9.8 $365,000,000.00
Crinetics Pharmaceuticals Biotechnology, Pharmaceutical, Therapeutics 10.5 $391,000,000.00
Principia Biopharma Biopharma, Biotechnology, Life Science 10.7 $386,000,000.00
Inspire Medical Systems Biotechnology, Health Care, Medical Device, Therapeutics 11.3 $323,000,000.00
Adial Pharmaceuticals Biotechnology, Health Care, Pharmaceutical 11.6 $32,690,000.00
Xeris Pharmaceuticals Biotechnology, Health Care, Pharmaceutical 13.5 $296,000,000.00
Liquidia Technologies Biopharma, Nanotechnology, Therapeutics 14.6 $166,000,000.00
Neuronetics Biotechnology, Medical Device, Therapeutics 15.5 $284,000,000.00
Aridis Pharmaceuticals Biotechnology, Content Discovery, Health Care, Pharmaceutical 15.6 $102,573,796.00
BioNano Genomics Biotechnology, Genetics, Health Diagnostics, Medical 15.6 $58,182,478.00
Sutro Biopharma Biotechnology, Information Technology, Medical 15.7 $342,000,000.00
PhaseBio Pharmaceuticals Biotechnology, Medical, Medical Device, Pharmaceutical 16.8 $119,000,000.00
Vaccinex Biotechnology, Clinical Trials, Health Care 17.6 $137,700,588.00
Gamida Cell Biotechnology, Medical Device, Therapeutics 20.8 $165,000,000.00
Sol-Gel Technologies Biotechnology 21.1 $225,000,000.00